CAR Heads to the Polls as Incumbent Aims for a Third Term
On Sunday, the Central African Republic will hold a significant series of four votes, including the presidency, national assembly, and local offices.
A Competitive Race for the Presidency
Seven candidates are competing for the presidency, among them ex-premiers Anicet Georges Dologuélé and Henri-Marie Dondra. The two were cleared to run by the constitutional court after initial bans. Dologuélé finished second in the last two elections, while Dondra had a short tenure under the current president.
Opposition Hopes and Public Discontent
The opposition hopes to capitalize on widespread discontent in a nation where conflict remains a daily reality. Over half a million people are displaced within their own country, with a similar number living as exiles in bordering states.
"This is an chance to commend the remarkable recovery of the nation," said a senior UN diplomat, though he added that obstacles persist.
Touadéra's Expected Victory
Despite the challenges, President Faustin-Archange Touadéra, a former mathematics professor, is widely expected to extend his run. He transitioned into politics in 2008 when named prime minister, holding the post until a insurgent alliance toppled the government in 2013, sparking a civil war.
After a turbulent transition period, his reputation for neutrality from the warring factions powered his runoff win in 2016.
Election Risks and Logistical Hurdles
There are fears that logistical problems and violence could disrupt the electoral process, particularly in rural areas. The UN peacekeeping mission, Minusca, is providing security and logistical support that the state's crumbling infrastructure cannot manage.
Further issues include the electoral roll being published only online, a significant barrier in a nation with limited internet access. These issues have led to an opposition boycott and could, as noted by analysts, "disenfranchise large segments of the population."
Stakes of a Third Term
Many residents worry that another term for Touadéra—enabled by a 2023 constitutional referendum that abolished term limits and lengthened mandates—would mean greater influence for outside interests.
The president has put faith in the Russian mercenary group Wagner for his protection, and despite its founder's death, has resisted calls to integrate its fighters into a successor entity. In contrast, Rwanda has taken a different approach, focusing on business ventures within CAR.
Claims of National Disposal
Allegations have stated the administration evicted its own soldiers from a internationally financed facility to make way for a foreign-run livestock operation. A pro-opposition commentary charged the leadership of being "intent on dispose of the country bit by bit."
Amid a newly signed agreement with armed factions offering hope of stabilization, the vote proceeds under a cloud of doubt and external competition.